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Volatility In Sight For Bitcoin? 8 Billion Options Ready To Shake The Market

Thu 26 Sep 2024 ▪ 3 min read ▪ by Mikaia A.
Getting informed Event

Bitcoin is not yet at $65,000 per piece, despite hopes. Since the FED announcement, the flagship crypto has stagnated between $63,000 and $64,000. However, the imminent expiration of options, which represents no less than $8.1 billion, could change the game. Between bullish sentiment and increased volatility, investors are preparing for an eventful weekend. The ratio between call and put options could well dictate the fate of bitcoin in the short term.

Maestro bitcoin avec comme musiciens un bear et un bull

Bitcoin and its options: who will have the last word?

Bitcoin options, closely linked to the US elections, worth a colossal value of $8.1 billion, are set to expire this Friday. Such an expiration often makes the market shiver. Indeed, the balance between calls (call options) and puts (put options) is a key indicator of the direction this crypto will take.

Currently, the put/call ratio hovers around 1.12, a figure that tends towards selling pressure. However, nothing is set in stone.

  • $8.1 billion in options at stake;
  • Put/call ratio of 1.12;
  • Increased volatility expected.

The last option expiration of this amount, in March 2021, saw a similar scenario: a pause followed by a bullish recovery. Optimists are betting that history could repeat itself, but beware of the bears who haven’t had their last word.

Volatility is to be expected, as investors prepare their moves,” says an expert.

The flagship crypto in the eye of the storm

Bitcoin is not alone in this battle. The increase in reserves on crypto exchanges suggests that traders anticipate a forthcoming liquidation. For three weeks, exchange reserves and open interest have been increasing, signals that indicate an intensification of activity. These market indicators are often harbingers of major turmoil for the flagship crypto.

Open interest for bitcoin
Open interest for bitcoin at the end of September 2024 – Source: CryptoQuant

The crypto market could thus experience significant volatility. Investors are keeping an eye on trend developments. The trading volumes also show that many are ready to react quickly to any sign of a downward correction.

In short, whether for a massive liquidation or a bullish boost, anything is still possible this week for bitcoin (BTC) and the crypto market as a whole.

It should also be noted that the expiration of options could weigh heavily on the market this week, with a bitcoin under pressure, oscillating between euphoria and fear.

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Mikaia A. avatar
Mikaia A.

La révolution blockchain et crypto est en marche ! Et le jour où les impacts se feront ressentir sur l’économie la plus vulnérable de ce Monde, contre toute espérance, je dirai que j’y étais pour quelque chose

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.