In an economic climate marked by geopolitical tensions and a wait-and-see approach regarding the Fed's decisions, Morgan Stanley disrupts the consensus. The investment bank anticipates seven rate cuts in 2026, starting in March, with a terminal rate between 2.5% and 2.75%. This sharp projection, published on June 25th, contrasts with the prevailing caution and reignites debates about the U.S. monetary calendar.
When Trump insults, Waller anticipates, Powell temporizes and the economy stalls: who will win this strange dance of rates orchestrated between inflation, unemployment, and a monetary nerve war?
By maintaining its benchmark rates for the fourth consecutive time, the Fed has not simply extended a monetary policy. It has taken a stance in a tense economic and political landscape. Stubborn inflation, weakened growth, barely concealed political pressure... The status quo decided on June 18 resembles a statement of intent. Behind the silence of the numbers, a strategy of resistance is taking shape as the central bank finds itself at the heart of an increasingly unstable balancing act.
In the turmoil of global commercial reconfigurations, Beijing is advancing its pawns. China announces the complete removal of tariffs on exports from 53 African countries, expanding preferential access to its market. Behind this gesture lies a targeted diplomatic offensive as Washington, under the leadership of Donald Trump, reactivates protectionist levers against the continent. Africa, long peripheral in geo-economic arbitration, is becoming the epicenter of a clash of influences where industrial ambitions, strategic alliances, and narratives of sovereignty intersect.
Will the Fed really keep its rates unchanged in June? Between persistent inflation and a surprising labor market, discover why this decision could disrupt the economy and the markets, including Bitcoin!
Donald Trump has just lost a key battle over his tariff rights: a U.S. court has put the brakes on him. Discover how this decision shakes China, the markets, and challenges presidential powers.
Fed meeting June 2025: inflation, unemployment, trade tensions... Discover how these crucial issues could disrupt interest rates and why some are already betting on bitcoin. Don't miss out!
The American Congress recently approved the "Big, Beautiful Bill," Donald Trump's budget proposal, hailed as a strong resurgence of Republican economic policy. However, for Peter Schiff, this text marks a dramatic turning point. The economist sees it as a destructive mechanism that prepares for the inevitable downfall of the dollar and an unprecedented monetary shock.
The return of Donald Trump to the global economic arena was enough to shake the markets. On Friday, a terse statement on Truth Social ignited the powder keg: 50% tariffs on European imports starting June 1. The reaction was swift. Wall Street wavered at the opening, traders hurriedly adjusted their positions, and the crypto market felt the shock: Bitcoin dropped by 4%, leading to liquidations of over 300 million dollars.
Interrogated in the Senate about the call for economic patriotism made by Emmanuel Macron, who has completely ruined France, Bernard Arnault judged that the state's interference in the operational management of businesses was "very bad" and leads to disaster.
The Chinese industry is showing signs of weakness. For the first time in over a year, the country's manufacturing activity has contracted, according to the latest figures from the National Bureau of Statistics. Indeed, the new tariff offensive launched by Donald Trump, with customs duties reaching up to 145%, is beginning to have an effect. In Wall Street as in Beijing, concern is rising. This trade standoff between the two powers awakens fears of a global slowdown with systemic consequences.
Markets only need a stir to get excited. This time, it is Donald Trump who has rekindled the flame by suddenly softening his stance on two hot topics: the Federal Reserve and Chinese tariffs. "No plan to replace Jerome Powell," he said, breaking with his past vehement criticisms. He also opened the door to tariff relief on Chinese imports. Two gestures of appeasement that immediately boosted global financial markets, seeking reassuring signals.
The possible removal of the 10% tax allowance on retirement pensions is stirring public debate. Announced in a government note, the measure is as concerning as it is divisive. What was once just a budgetary avenue has now become a strong social marker, crystallizing tensions around taxation and the treatment of retirees. In a pressured economic climate, this potential reform raises a central question: how far can the State go without breaking the balance between generations?
Donald Trump has renewed his attacks against Jerome Powell, the chairman of the Federal Reserve. He accuses him of not acting quickly enough to lower interest rates. Amid political tension, this criticism reignites the debate over the FED's independence and its growing influence on financial markets.
In the midst of a commercial battle, the European Union agrees to negotiate the elimination of tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles. Supported by massive subsidies, these low-cost models disrupt the balance of the European market. This turnaround marks a turning point, as Europe, torn between industrial protectionism and ecological transition, opens itself to a risky compromise. In a key sector, this rapprochement could reshuffle the cards between two rival powers, linked by competition as much as by interdependence.
China announced on April 9 a dramatic increase in tariffs on American products, which will rise to 84% starting April 10, 2025 at 12:01 AM. This decision is a direct response to Donald Trump, who had raised tariffs on Chinese imports to 104% the day before!
A new trade tension is shaking relations between Washington and Tokyo. Donald Trump's recent decision to impose massive tariffs on Japanese products is causing a shockwave. Japan is reacting, setting up a delegation, and trying to contain the crisis before it worsens.
Global trade is wobbling under the effect of a new escalation between Washington and Beijing. Donald Trump is reigniting the tariff offensive against China, rekindling a trade war that marked his previous term. Beijing, far from backing down, is deploying a firm response, determined to defend its strategic interests. This renewed showdown between the two superpowers resonates well beyond customs, threatens global economic balances, and stirs tensions in international markets. A confrontation whose implications could be felt well beyond American and Chinese borders.
In a move that further intensifies the economic tensions between Donald Trump and China, the White House announced the imposition of an additional 104% tariffs on Chinese imports. This measure comes after China has evidently maintained its own 34% duty on American exports.
Donald Trump reignited trade tensions with China on Monday, April 7, by threatening to impose "additional" tariffs of 50% on Chinese products. This new escalation would occur as soon as April 9, if Beijing does not reverse its decision to retaliate against the U.S. customs offensive. China had indeed announced an increase of its own tariffs to 34% on American imports, effective April 10.
A new trade confrontation is beginning between the two shores of the Atlantic. Through the announcement of a 20% tariff on all European products, Washington directly targets exports from the Old Continent. France, on the front line, faces the threat of a major economic shock. Between the vulnerability of strategic sectors and diplomatic urgencies, Paris must react quickly. Behind this American decision lies much more than a tariff battle: the entire architecture of transatlantic trade relations is at stake.
Trump's new taxes destabilize the markets. What are the consequences for the American economy? The full analysis here!
The Trump administration has just triggered a real commercial earthquake. Through the imposition of a universal customs tax of 10%, soon raised to 34% for certain countries, Washington is reviving an aggressive protectionist strategy. This decision, counter to multilateral rules, threatens to reconfigure global trade and is already prompting reactions from more than 50 states. In a tense international context, this major shift could well mark the beginning of a new era of economic confrontation.
A historic day on Wall Street: on April 4, 2025, American markets lost $3.25 trillion, more than the total market capitalization of crypto. This brutal drop, triggered by tariff measures from Trump, reveals a deep crisis. Bitcoin, however, endures. An analysis of an economic shift.
JPMorgan has revised its economic forecasts for 2025, raising the probability of a global recession to 60% due to the new tariffs imposed by the Trump administration. According to a report released this Thursday, titled "There will be Blood," the investment bank warns that the tariffs, which will take effect next week, risk plunging not only the United States but the entire global economy into a recession.
Donald Trump recently triggered an economic shockwave by announcing new tariffs. In response, Jerome Powell, the Chair of the Federal Reserve (FED), warned that these measures could exacerbate inflation while slowing down growth. What will be the impact on interest rates? Find out here.
Donald Trump is once again making his mark at the helm of the United States. By launching a vast tariff offensive against almost all of the country's trading partners, the president is triggering an economic and diplomatic earthquake. Wall Street is falling, allies are worried, and Beijing is retaliating. This decision, as much strategic as ideological, marks the overt return of hard protectionism and places American economic sovereignty at the center of the global game.
Donald Trump has caused an economic shockwave by announcing significant tariffs targeting almost all countries in the world. The figures presented by the White House are being thoroughly analyzed by experts and raise questions among the United States' trading partners.
Donald Trump triggered a new trade earthquake on the night of April 2 to 3, 2025. By announcing an increase in tariffs of up to 20% on products from the European Union, the current head of the White House is reviving transatlantic tensions. But France and Europe are not going to take it lying down and are going on the offensive!
On April 2, 2025, Donald Trump spoke from the Rose Garden of the White House to announce a series of unprecedented protectionist measures, as part of what he now calls "Economic Liberation Day." True to his America First creed, the American president outlined a decree imposing massive tariffs aimed at reindustrializing the country and reducing its dependence on foreign imports. Unfortunately, the markets were not prepared for what would follow...