The year 2025 starts on uncertain grounds for bitcoin. After reaching a peak of $108,000, the cryptocurrency quickly lost ground, falling back below the symbolic threshold of $100,000. This level, both psychological and strategic, has become a fragile equilibrium point where buyers and sellers are at odds. On one side, optimists believe this consolidation phase paves the way for a new bullish impulse, with potential recovery towards record levels. On the other side, proponents of a bearish scenario anticipate a more pronounced correction, which could bring BTC down to $76,000, a level corresponding to a key support zone. Beyond these contrasting forecasts, several factors contribute to the uncertainty. Additionally, macroeconomic tensions, particularly the upcoming decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed), add further pressure on investors. In light of this uncertain climate, the coming weeks are poised to be critical for bitcoin. The outcome of this battle at $100,000 could well dictate market trends for the remainder of the year.