Bitcoin could one day equal the gold capitalization, estimated around 30 000 billion dollars, according to Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise. This scenario would imply a price close to 1.5 million dollars per BTC, but is based on a historical comparison and not on a short-term forecast.
Strive's SATA program reportedly generated about 55 million dollars this week, enough to buy nearly 638 bitcoins. But this financing capacity depends directly on the preferred stock price. From Wednesday, the stock fell below 100 dollars, preventing the company from continuing its issuances. A limit that recalls the risks of the Strategy-inspired model.
Traders have concentrated 4.5 billion dollars of bitcoin call options between 90000 and 100000 dollars, with an expiration set for October 30. This accumulation reflects a renewed interest in a BTC price increase, without constituting a unanimous market forecast.
On October 10, 2025, the cryptocurrency market suffered a brutal crash that led to nearly 19 billion dollars in liquidations. A few days after a historic record above 126,000 dollars, bitcoin quickly lost part of its value. One year later, traders have better tools to monitor risks. Yet, leverage, excessive positions, and the weight of derivatives continue to weaken the market.
After several sessions marked by losses, the cryptocurrency market is regaining some ground. Bitcoin is rising after touching its lowest level since early September, but this recovery is still not enough to reassure investors. Despite a rise in prices on Friday, expectations remain cautious for the end of October. Between massive ETF outflows, neutral indicators, and risks of further declines, the market is now seeking a clear direction for the next sessions.
Exchange-traded funds linked to cryptocurrencies are experiencing a period of significant capital outflows. In two sessions, US ETFs on bitcoin and Ether lost nearly one billion dollars, while trading volumes increased significantly. This development reflects a rapid shift in institutional flows. While several products continue to attract investments, withdrawals now dominate the main fund categories and raise questions about the short-term market trend.n
The United States puts 215 million dollars on the table to accelerate the development of fault-tolerant quantum computers. The Department of Energy's goal is to demonstrate machines with hundreds of logical qubits by 2028. For Bitcoin, the news deserves attention. A sufficiently powerful quantum machine could one day attack the signatures that protect certain bitcoin. And this week, an Ethereum researcher added another concern: AI could accelerate the threat even before the arrival of the famous "Q-Day".
Bitcoin brushed 80,900 dollars before bouncing back towards 82,000 dollars. At the same time, the AI sector takes another bad surprise: OpenAI communicated to its investors an annualized revenue close to 50 billion dollars for September, about 20 billion less than the previously mentioned 70 billion. The two events do not have the same origin. However, they arrive in a market where expensive oil, high rates, and gigantic expenses are starting to make investors much more demanding.
More than six million bitcoins rely on public keys already visible on the blockchain, according to the latest Glassnode data. This situation revives concerns around wallet security in the face of advances in artificial intelligence and quantum computing. While this share represents 31.2% of the circulating supply, Justin Drake calls on industry players to anticipate possible attacks against the cryptographic systems used today.
Bitcoin dropped to about 80400 dollars on Thursday evening, triggering a cascade of liquidations across the entire crypto market. Nearly 1.19 billion dollars of positions were closed within 24 hours, before a BTC rebound above 82000 dollars.
Bitcoin fell around 81200 dollars on October 8, after a low near 80940 dollars, its lowest level in nearly three weeks. The rise in oil and US rates increases the pressure, while tensions around Iran revive inflation fears.
American Bitcoin ETFs have just experienced their worst session since June. On Wednesday, 484.9 million dollars left spot funds, wiping out in one day all the inflows accumulated since the beginning of October. BlackRock accounts for more than 207 million dollars in withdrawals. Bitcoin followed the trend, returning around 82,700 dollars.
Bitcoins continue to leave exchange platforms. On Monday, October 5, net outflows reached 24,073 BTC in a single day, a record since March. At the same time, the share of supply held on platforms fell to about 6.5%. This decline comes as bitcoin is already erasing part of its gains from the beginning of the month.
Bitcoin trades around 84,000 dollars as institutional demand shows signs of slowing. Between September 28 and October 2, US spot ETFs recorded only 241.1 million dollars in net inflows. Meanwhile, the futures market is reducing its leverage. These movements now place ETF flows and several price levels at the center of upcoming market developments, as investors closely watch the next price moves.
Bitcoin wiped out its gains from early October by falling back to around $83,300 on October 7, after surpassing $86,400 the day before. The $81,300 level now draws attention, but its loss would only become truly worrying with ETF outflows and loss-making sales by recent investors.
The Bank of Russia formalizes the registration of bitcoin in Sberbank and VTB in their crypto registers. A major turning point that paves the way for BTC to 140 million clients. Discover the schedule and the rules.
Bitcoin drops 2.7% below $84,000, while $547M of leveraged positions are liquidated in 24 hours. Oil and US rates increase pressure ahead of the Fed minutes.
Elon Musk regained trillionaire status on Monday, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires index. In just one day, his estimated fortune increased by 65.4 billion dollars to reach 1.04 trillion. This surge is mainly explained by the rise of SpaceX and Tesla, two companies that also share another common point: they hold bitcoin.
Wealthy investors now look at digital assets with growing attention, despite the persistent reservations of some advisors. A CoinShares survey conducted with 2,230 people in seven major economies shows that the majority already hold crypto. On average, these investments account for about 10% of their portfolios. Above all, many still plan to increase their exposure in 2026. The decline observed in February therefore did not change this trend, which relies mainly on diversification and a long-term vision.
Wallets associated with the US government transferred 833.6 bitcoins, valued at over 71 million dollars, on October 6th. This first movement in six weeks concerns funds seized in the Bitfinex and HashFlare cases, but no data confirms their sale.
Between the secret wallets of giants and the shock simulations of Wall Street, the mapping of Bitcoin holders is shifting. What if AIs are now leading the dance?
The CFTC launched, on October 5, a consultation on a federal framework for retail crypto transactions with leverage or margin. Meanwhile, the SEC is progressing on the custody of digital assets and tokenization. Washington thus seeks to attract innovation and capital, even if Congress retains the final say on part of this architecture.
The Bull Score of bitcoin, calculated by CryptoQuant, shows 90 out of 100, according to the report published by the company on September 29, 2026. This index summarizes the state of the bitcoin market on a scale from 0 to 100. In the same report, the analysis company notes a decline in demand: 170,000 BTC less spot demand over 30 days, according to CryptoQuant. The flows of US bitcoin ETFs, recalculated by Cointribune, show the same slowdown since September 21.
The Bitcoin network is now less than 80000 blocks away from its fifth halving, expected around April 2028. This milestone will halve the reward given to miners, from 3.125 to 1.5625 bitcoins per block, but its exact date will continue to evolve with the network's production pace.
On October 2, five people were indicted in Paris on suspicions of terrorism financing, money laundering, and breach of trust. This investigation, conducted with the United States, concerns donations that were allegedly diverted to Hamas. Washington also sanctioned two French associations and a leader of the armed group. Meanwhile, French justice estimates the amounts that may have passed through local network channels at about 1.1 million dollars.
Strategy estimates an accounting gain of $20.91 billion on its digital assets in the third quarter of 2026, according to its October 5 SEC filing. However, the nine-month balance remains negative by about $1.86 billion, according to our calculations.
Bitcoin posted its best weekly close since January, around 86530 dollars, before failing once again below the 87000 dollar zone. The rise in US Treasury yields and the decline in buying pressure are currently preventing the market from breaking through its annual opening price.
Strategy continues buying Bitcoin. Michael Saylor's company has just acquired an additional 334 BTC for 28.7 million dollars, bringing its total reserve to exactly 848,000 BTC. The average price of the last purchase reached 85,838.80 dollars. In total, the company has now devoted nearly 63.97 billion dollars to its immense Bitcoin treasury.
The 50, 100, and 200-day moving averages of bitcoin are about to regain a fully bullish alignment for the first time since June 2025. However, the signal is not yet confirmed and its history shows that it can precede both a strong rise and a quickly interrupted move.
Polymarket attracts millions of crypto traders, but the majority do not come out ahead. Galaxy analyzed 2.9 million accounts considered retail on the international platform. Result: 69.2% end below their break-even point. Together, they accumulate $338.9 million in losses. Automated accounts show $246.8 million in gains.