The crypto sector is used to forecasts and bets on the future. But when a probability rises to 81%, it stops being mere speculation and becomes a credible scenario. This is the case with the XRP ETF, whose approval in the year 2025 seems increasingly plausible, according to the bets recorded on Polymarket. While American regulators are still struggling to clarify their position on cryptocurrencies, this sudden rise in forecasts is noteworthy.