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Dogecoin’s Meteoric Rise : Is $1 Within Reach ?

Sun 05 Jan 2025 ▪ 7 min read ▪ by Luc Jose A.
Getting informed Altcoins

The crypto market is in perpetual turmoil, and Dogecoin is today one of the protagonists. In just one week, its price jumped by 21 %, surpassing competitors such as Shiba Inu, Pepe, and Bonk. This performance is not due to chance. Institutional investors and wealthy individuals have significantly positioned themselves in the asset, as evidenced by the purchase of 1.08 billion DOGE for an estimated value of 413 million dollars. A notable transaction of 399.9 million DOGE, approximately 144.9 million dollars, was also transferred from Binance to an unknown wallet, a movement often perceived as a bullish signal indicating a reduction in selling pressure. For some observers, the asset could finally break the symbolic barrier of 1 dollar by the end of the year, thereby propelling its market cap to 100 billion dollars. However, is this dynamic based on solid fundamentals or is it simply speculative excitement? Amid strategic accumulations, optimistic analyses, and favorable political contexts, Dogecoin may well be on the brink of a new bullish cycle.

A crypto trader in a suit, exhilarated in front of his screen displaying a spectacular surge in Dogecoin (+21%).

The Influence of Whales on the Surge of Dogecoin

The Dogecoin is again attracting attention, driven by exceptionally large financial movements. For several days, major investors have been making significant accumulations of tokens, signaling a renewed interest in the cryptocurrency. Indeed, according to Blockchair’s data, more than 1.08 billion DOGE, worth approximately 413 million dollars, have been acquired by large wallets. Such a phenomenon was accompanied by a transfer of 399.9 million DOGE, estimated at 144.9 million dollars, from the Binance platform to an unknown wallet. This type of movement is generally perceived as a bullish signal, as it indicates a decrease in selling pressure. When whales move their funds off exchanges, they limit the immediately available supply, which can foster price increases.

Moreover, the historical evolution of Dogecoin seems to also play in its favor. According to CryptoRank, the month of January stands out as the best time of the year for DOGE, with an average return of 85 % over the years. This trend was particularly illustrated in January 2021, when the asset experienced a spectacular surge of 711 %, and in 2014, when it rose by 269 %. Additionally, another key data point is that April is the second-best month for Dogecoin, with notable increases such as 546 % in 2021 and 84.9 % in 2018. This repetitive pattern could reinforce investor confidence and fuel hopes for a new bullish rally in 2025.

Beyond these technical elements, the current enthusiasm for DOGE fits into a context where the cryptosphere is seeking new growth catalysts. The increase in open interest on Dogecoin futures, which soared by 50% in just five days, illustrates the growing commitment of investors to this asset. This surge in speculative positions, coupled with movements by major market players, could mark the beginning of a new phase of volatility, with significant bullish potential.

Is Dogecoin Heading to $1 : Simple Speculation or Imminent Reality?

The interest of investors in Dogecoin is not solely based on the recent movements of whales. Some analysts are increasingly optimistic about its future, starting with Galaxy Digital. In its annual report on crypto trends, its lead analyst, Alex Thorn, puts forth a bold prediction: the price of Dogecoin could surge by 170 % to reach 1 dollar during the year 2025, thereby bringing its market cap to over 100 billion dollars. “Dogecoin will reach $1 and thus become the first meme-inspired cryptocurrency to cross this psychological barrier,” asserts Galaxy Digital in a post on the platform X (formerly Twitter) on January 2, 2024, a hypothesis that reinforces investor confidence and feeds the idea of a prolonged rally.

Beyond numerical projections, an unexpected political event has fueled enthusiasm around Dogecoin. Indeed, in the United States, President Donald Trump announced the creation of a new government agency called the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). This choice of name, whether coincidence or deliberate provocation, has immediately drawn the attention of crypto communities. The surprise does not stop there: Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy have been appointed to lead this entity. These appointments have triggered a wave of speculation about a possible return of Musk to the Dogecoin ecosystem, an asset he has supported multiple times through publications and strategic decisions involving Tesla and SpaceX.

The impact of these events on the evolution of Dogecoin remains uncertain, but signals are converging towards a phase of accumulation and growing enthusiasm. Furthermore, open interest on DOGE-related futures has increased by 50 % in a few days, reaching 3 billion dollars, which indicates a significant influx of capital and renewed interest from traders in this asset. Additionally, Spirit Blockchain Capital, a Canadian company, is now exploring the idea of using its Dogecoin reserves to generate yields via DeFi. By adopting an approach similar to that of MicroStrategy with bitcoin, these institutional players seek to integrate DOGE into a framework of sustainable valuation and financial utility.

This evolution could enhance Dogecoin’s credibility within financial markets and attract more institutional investors. However, does the current enthusiasm rest on solid fundamentals or merely on a speculative wave? The future of DOGE will depend on the market’s ability to sustain this momentum, the role that influential figures like Elon Musk will play, and the evolution of macroeconomic trends in the crypto sector.

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Luc Jose A. avatar
Luc Jose A.

Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019. Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.

DISCLAIMER

The views, thoughts, and opinions expressed in this article belong solely to the author, and should not be taken as investment advice. Do your own research before taking any investment decisions.