Bitcoin, Ripple, Ethereum: Decoding The Mixed Market Signals

As the crypto markets catch their breath after a period of high volatility, all eyes turn to three giants: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple. This week promises to be decisive, with critical technical levels and macroeconomic factors that could redefine market dynamics. Between hopes for breakthroughs and the risks of correction, here’s what might shake up the portfolios.

Bitcoin: $85,000 in sight – Bullish signal or invisible wall?

Bitcoin is flirting with $84,000, but it’s the symbolic threshold of $85,000 that attracts attention. This level, aligned with the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), is both a major technical resistance and a psychological barrier.

Bitcoin (BTC) has regained short-term bullish momentum, trading between $82,000 and $90,000 as improved macro sentiment lifts investor confidence.

Ryan Lee, Bitget Research

The recent break from the downward trend of the past three months at $84,900 marks a turning point for Bitcoin: the entry of institutional flows, exchange outflows, and the continuous accumulation of ETFs signal the return of long-term buyers. The RSI is climbing towards 58, and the MACD suggests an imminent bullish crossover.

“However, with $85,000 acting as near-term resistance, profit-taking could spark a short-lived pullback, with $82,000 likely serving as a support floor.

Ryan Lee

At this stage, everything will depend on the bulls’ ability to maintain pressure. In the event of a decisive breakout, $90,000 and then $95,000 — the last peak in March — are in sight.

Ethereum: between technical consolidation and structural weakness

Ethereum, after rebounding from $1,449, fluctuates around $1,650 to $1,700 in an uncertain consolidation channel. The RSI remains neutral, around 50, while the volume remains low.

Ethereum (ETH) is also benefiting from the broader risk-on environment, recovering 6% to trade near $1,650. While ETH’s rebound could extend toward $1,800 or even test $2,000, its relative underperformance—down 65% from December highs compared to BTC’s 23% drawdown—underscores ongoing structural weakness.

Ryan Lee

ETH ETFs saw $80 million in outflows last week, and the stagnant ETH/BTC ratio at 0.019 reflects a lack of investor conviction.

The RSI hovering near 50 and a return to the $1,499–$1,800 Keltner Channel signal some technical stabilization. Still, low trading volumes and a muted ETH/BTC ratio around 0.019 reflect caution among market participants. Overall, ETH may continue to follow BTC’s lead, but upside potential remains constrained unless fresh catalysts emerge to reassert its narrative.

Ryan Lee

As long as ETH does not sustainably exceed $1,700, caution is warranted. In the event of a pullback, critical support at $1,500, or even $1,300, could be tested.

Ripple: fragile recovery or temporary respite?

XRP seems to be stabilizing around $2.14, after exceeding the 200-day EMA at $1.95. A breakout above $2.23 could pave the way towards $2.50, the last peak in March.

However, the RSI, stuck at 50, indicates total indecision, and the threat of a return below the 200-day EMA remains very real. In this case, $1.77 would serve as a support to watch closely.

As is often the case with Ripple, the regulatory factor remains an unpredictable wild card. Any statement from the SEC or market rumor can accelerate movements.

This week could seal the short-term fate of the three main cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin remains the market barometer, and its direction will influence the trajectories of ETH and XRP. The macroeconomic climate with Trump, institutional flows, and technical levels converge this week to create a pivotal moment for the crypto market.