Bitcoin Is At Great Risk If This Threshold Fails!

The cryptocurrency market remains highly tense as Bitcoin, following a sharp drop in early September, tries to regain its stability. Rising from $53,700 to over $60,000 in a matter of days, Bitcoin finds itself at a strategic crossroads. Although this rebound may seem promising, experts remain cautious. Analysts from ARK Invest highlight critical support levels that, if they do not hold, could plunge the market back into uncertainty.

Bitcoin Tested by the $52,000 Support

During August and especially early September, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop, reaching even a low of $53,700. But since then, the queen of cryptos has managed to rebound and is currently trading above $60,000 as of September 15. Despite this recovery, the market remains under pressure and investors remain cautious. According to ARK Invest analysts, this rebound might only be a pause in a more volatile trend, as Bitcoin is still at a “moment of truth” with critical support levels to watch.

In its latest report, ARK Invest emphasizes that the most critical support levels for Bitcoin are at $52,000 and, more importantly, at $46,000. These thresholds do not correspond to the current price but represent key technical levels where Bitcoin could find support in case of a further correction. The $46,000 level is particularly watched as it corresponds to market indicators such as cost averages and historical investor behaviors. If this level were to fail, it could trigger a new wave of sales and deepen losses, further weakening investor confidence.

Challenges for Institutional Investors and Bitcoin ETFs

Additionally, according to ARK Invest, the average base cost of participants in U.S. Bitcoin ETFs currently exceeds the price of Bitcoin, meaning many institutional investors are in latent loss. “At the end of August, the average base cost of participants in U.S. Bitcoin ETFs was higher than the price of Bitcoin,” the report specifies. This situation exposes institutional investors to increased risks, potentially leading to short-term sales to limit losses in an unstable market environment.

Despite this pressure, some indicators remain favorable. ARK Invest notes that short-term holder liquidations remain relatively low, and the macroeconomic context still supports Bitcoin’s performance. Moreover, the MVRV Z-score, a key indicator comparing Bitcoin’s market capitalization to its base cost, remains in a zone associated with bull markets. This suggests that despite current turbulences, Bitcoin could avoid a prolonged drop if it manages to stay away from the indicated support levels.

In any case, the market remains volatile, and the coming days will be decisive for Bitcoin’s future.