Diplômé de Sciences Po Toulouse et titulaire d'une certification consultant blockchain délivrée par Alyra, j'ai rejoint l'aventure Cointribune en 2019.
Convaincu du potentiel de la blockchain pour transformer de nombreux secteurs de l'économie, j'ai pris l'engagement de sensibiliser et d'informer le grand public sur cet écosystème en constante évolution. Mon objectif est de permettre à chacun de mieux comprendre la blockchain et de saisir les opportunités qu'elle offre. Je m'efforce chaque jour de fournir une analyse objective de l'actualité, de décrypter les tendances du marché, de relayer les dernières innovations technologiques et de mettre en perspective les enjeux économiques et sociétaux de cette révolution en marche.
After a period marked by intense fluctuations, Bitcoin seems ready to enter a new decisive phase. Recent data from Binance reveals a steady increase in purchase volumes, a strong signal that fuels hopes for an imminent rebound. This trend comes as the market digests the corrections that occurred after the historical peaks reached this year. In a context where investors' attention remains focused on key indicators, the latest developments confirm the growing interest in the flagship cryptocurrency, reinforcing the idea of an imminent recovery. While these numbers reflect increased buying pressure, they also fit into an economic landscape where signals of recovery alternate with the risks of future corrections. This setup makes Bitcoin a central player in discussions about the outlook for digital markets in 2025.
The real estate market is at the center of concerns in 2025, attracting attention from investors as much as from first-time buyers and economists. This evolution of mortgage rates, a true indicator of economic and financial health, plays a decisive role in this dynamic. Between 2023 and 2024, rates saw a significant decrease. Thus, they dropped from 4.5% to 3.23%, a change that illustrates both the effects of the European Central Bank’s flexible monetary policies and the banks' strategy to stimulate access to property ownership. This decline is not just a simple statistic. It has already increased the borrowing capacity of thousands of households, creating an unprecedented opportunity to revive an already fragile market. In a context marked by increased competition among financial institutions, this trend could intensify in 2025, potentially ushering in a new phase of growth for real estate.
Global trade is going through a period marked by increasing tensions, where diplomacy and economy intertwine in strategic rivalries. Indeed, China's opening of an anti-dumping investigation into European cognac imports signals a new front in the trade conflict with the European Union. This move, perceived as a direct response to European accusations against Chinese subsidies for electric vehicles, reflects an escalation of economic retaliations between two major powers. Such a case goes beyond a mere trade dispute. It raises fundamental questions about the balance of international exchanges and the role of institutions like the World Trade Organization in arbitrating these disputes in an increasingly complex rivalry context.
The performance of Bitcoin, often seen as a barometer for the entire crypto sector, reveals a paradox this year. Indeed, the price of the flagship asset has risen by 128% over a twelve-month period, reaching levels reminiscent of its glory days. However, this exceptional momentum does not seem to benefit mining companies, whose stocks have seen dramatic declines. This situation indicates a disconnect between the soaring Bitcoin price and the stock performance of mining firms. Investors and analysts are questioning: what are the factors behind this divergence? While Bitcoin continues to attract attention with its resilience and the growing enthusiasm for ETFs and institutional purchases, mining companies face major structural challenges, notably related to energy costs, regulatory pressures, and operational inefficiencies.
The BRICS are ushering in a new economic era with a historic expansion planned for January 2025. This group, which unites some of the largest emerging economies, is set to welcome nine new partners, marking a decisive step in its quest for strengthening its position on the international stage. Such a move comes at a time when geopolitical rivalries are intensifying and traditional alliances are being questioned. Through the extension of their geographical and strategic reach, the BRICS aim to consolidate their influence, but also to provide a credible alternative to Western-dominated economic models. This shift reflects a reorganization of global economic powers, in response to growing demands for a more balanced and multipolar system.
At the dawn of 2025, Ethereum is poised to undergo a major transformation that could redefine its role within the crypto ecosystem. Following a lackluster performance in 2024, the signs of a resurgence are intensifying. Experts emphasize the decisive impact of several technical innovations and a rapidly evolving regulatory context, all of which could propel Ethereum into a new era of dominance. Driven by ambitious updates like Pectra, the network aims to overcome its current scalability limitations and enhance user experience through advancements in interoperability and account abstraction. Additionally, the arrival of a pro-crypto administration in the United States, along with the growing adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and AI-based smart agents, opens up unprecedented opportunities. In this context, Ethereum could become the central engine of a rapidly changing ecosystem that attracts investors, institutions, and developers.
Global economic uncertainties are forcing institutions to thoroughly rethink their investment strategies. In this context, decentralized finance (DeFi) is emerging as a credible and visionary alternative for reinventing traditional financial models. In recent years, major advancements have transformed DeFi into a sophisticated ecosystem, far beyond early technological experiments. Thus, the development of bitcoin staking, the tokenization of real assets, and the integration of autonomous artificial intelligences herald a new era for this rapidly expanding sector.
China is at a pivotal economic turning point. As the combined effects of weak consumption, an intensified real estate crisis, and high unemployment hinder its development, Beijing has just announced an ambitious budget policy for 2025. The stated objective is clear: to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize an economy under significant pressure. To achieve these ambitions, the government plans a significant increase in public spending, coupled with a revision of its fiscal priorities. These measures, detailed during a national conference, reflect a firm commitment to support local communities, expand social benefits, and strengthen resources for struggling businesses. Such a strategy, centered around innovation and strategic technologies, also aims to revitalize trade exchanges in order to adapt debt rules. With this comprehensive approach, Beijing intends to lay the groundwork for more resilient economic growth and to address the structural challenges that hinder its trajectory.
The crypto market, characterized by sustained volatility, continues to surprise with the failure of predictions. While massive sell-offs have dominated trading in recent days, a report published by CoinShares highlights a singular phenomenon: institutional investors have significantly increased their positions in crypto products. Indeed, with net inflows reaching $308 million in a week, these investments sharply contrast with the general downward trend. This institutional support, although counterintuitive in an environment of strong economic pressure, reflects a strategic confidence in the potential of cryptos. Concurrently, the data reveals marked divergences among products, reflecting a reconfiguration of investment priorities. This dynamic paves the way for an in-depth analysis of the motivations of institutions and their implications for the future of crypto markets.
The world of crypto could experience a historic change with Donald Trump's return to the White House. Indeed, the elected president, already known for his divisive stances, has placed crypto at the heart of his economic priorities. He aims to propel the United States to the status of a global leader in this rapidly expanding sector. Among his promises are the creation of a strategic reserve of bitcoins and the establishment of policies favorable to crypto businesses. These initiatives, which demonstrate a desire for a break from the previous administration, evoke a mix of hope and skepticism within the industry. While his supporters praise a bold vision for the future of crypto, observers remind us of the many obstacles that will arise in the realization of these projects, whether political, economic, or regulatory. Donald Trump's next term could thus mark a decisive turning point in the evolution of cryptocurrencies in the United States and on the international stage.
As the year comes to a close, the bitcoin market finds itself at a decisive stage. Investors were hoping for a period of stability to end 2024 on a positive note after a series of significant fluctuations. However, several major technical indicators are countering these expectations and pointing towards a possible significant correction. Among these signals, the formation of a bearish pattern on the weekly charts and the erosion of critical support levels are raising serious concerns. Concurrently, macroeconomic conditions, marked by a decline in global money supply and a tightening of policies by the U.S. Federal Reserve, are increasing pressure on risk assets. These combined elements are fueling the most pessimistic projections. Thus, some observers even suggest that the price of bitcoin could drop by $20,000. A thorough analysis of these dynamics reveals both the challenges and the opportunities of a market in search of new certainties.
International economic dynamics always attract marked interest, particularly when coalitions like the BRICS are perceived as a threat to the hegemony of the American dollar. However, the recent statements from Russia, India, and South Africa have clarified their position. Indeed, these countries assert that no plan aims to weaken the American currency. They firmly reject the accusations of "de-dollarization" and emphasize their willingness to maintain stable relations with the United States.
Since its launch, Solana has distinguished itself as one of the most innovative blockchains in the industry. With its execution speed and some of the lowest transaction fees, it has attracted a dynamic ecosystem of developers and users. However, December 2024 marked a critical period. The Total Value Locked (TVL) in its DeFi ecosystem recorded a dramatic drop of $1.1 billion, reaching a critical level of $8.01 billion. This decline reflects weakened activity on the blockchain, as evidenced by a 7% decrease in the number of daily active addresses. At the same time, network revenues also fell by 24%, intensifying concerns about the sustainability and attractiveness of this leading platform. These numbers raise questions about Solana's ability to maintain its position in an increasingly competitive environment.
Amid revolutionary announcements, technological advancements, and regulatory turbulence, the crypto ecosystem continues to prove that it is both a territory of limitless innovations and a battleground for regulatory and economic disputes. Here is a summary of the most notable news from the past week surrounding Bitcoin, Ethereum, Binance, Solana, and Ripple.
Tensions between the United States and the European Union are escalating once again. Donald Trump, known for his aggressive trade policy, has targeted the European trade surplus, which he describes as "huge." The elected American president threatens to impose heavy tariffs if European countries do not reduce this imbalance by significantly increasing their purchases of American oil and gas. This strategy aligns with the continuity of his protectionist rhetoric aimed at enhancing the competitiveness of the United States on the global stage.
