70% Chance That Crypto Will Hit Their Lowest Level Before June

The crypto market is heading straight for an imminent cataclysm: a staggering crash of assets with a disconcerting probability of 70%! This, fueled by chaotic global economic factors and the ruthless tariffs imposed by Trump. Investors are increasingly worried, but a fragile hope remains, the only thing capable of stopping this descent into hell.

An inevitable 70% crash in the crypto market?

On April 2, 2025, President Donald Trump announced tariff measures aimed at reducing the trade deficit of the United States. This decision comes at a crucial time for financial markets, particularly crypto. Indeed, American monetary policy and global trade tensions have a direct impact on the dynamics of Bitcoin and Ethereum.

According to an analysis by Nansen, there is a 70% probability that the crypto market will hit a low (i.e., a bottom or a downward bounce) by June, due to economic factors such as uncertainty regarding American economic policies and the actions of the FED to manage a soft recession.

Especially since the main American stock indices and BTC have failed to sustainably surpass their 200-day moving averages, while those of the shorter term are declining. Crypto investors will therefore need to closely monitor upcoming economic data, such as ISM, employment rates, and Jerome Powell’s speech.

Is hope in BTC’s hands?

While the situation seems critical, an unexpected factor could shake this dynamic: the behavior of Bitcoin whales. These investors holding significant amounts of BTC (between 1,000 and 10,000 BTC) have begun a massive accumulation of crypto since early 2025, a strategy previously observed before the major bullish rallies of 2020.

This trend of intense buying, even in an uncertain market environment, suggests that the whales anticipate a rise in Bitcoin’s value. If this historical pattern repeats, a surge in BTC could be expected as early as June 2025, at which point this bearish low would end.

Thus, if this expected rise in Bitcoin in June 2025 materializes, it could become a major catalyst for the entire crypto market. The optimism generated by a BTC rally would likely attract new investors, also boosting demand for other altcoins. A positive dynamic that could then lead to a widespread recovery of the crypto market.

As Trump continues to unsettle the crypto market that loses 130 billion in a few days, a new major uncertainty is added with this 70% probability of a crash. However, the accumulation by Bitcoin whales and a BTC rebound in June could transform this dynamic. If these signals are confirmed, a rapid and general recovery of the crypto market could follow.